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> Policy Briefing: Exploring the future of migration in the Horn of Africa: survey insights

> Final Report: Using scenarios to explore future migration in the Horn of Africa & Yemen

First Component

Collect, compile, and analyse existing data and social scientific literature on migration drivers, patterns and trends in the Horn of Africa and Yemen from the fields of economics, politics, demography, geography, development studies, anthropology and sociology. Develop preliminary migration megatrends and uncertainties for both sending and receiving countries in the region.

Second Component

Disseminate an online survey to scholars and non-academic stakeholders from governments, international organisations, businesses and civil society organisations, who have insight into and expertise on issues related to migration in the region. The survey will ask respondents about past, present, and potential future drivers and patterns of migration in the Horn of Africa and Yemen. It will help to establish a baseline of the currently held beliefs on regional migration dynamics as well as the perceived opportunities and challenges associated with migration. Insights from the survey and background research will contribute to the publication of a policy brief and to discussions during the stakeholders workshop.

Third Component

Convene a stakeholders workshop in Nairobi with 25 experts from governments, international organisations, businesses and civil society organisations, working on issues related to migration in the region. Stakeholders will use information from their daily work as well as their broader knowledge of global processes and changes that may affect the region and collaborate to develop scenarios on future migration in the Horn of Africa and Yemen. The workshop will prompt stakeholders to be active contributors to the production of knowledge as well as 'users' of scenarios in their future work.

For policy makers, this approach is helpful in responding to major future shifts in global migration patterns as well as the factors driving these processes. For academics, this experience may increase awareness of future lines of investigation that have so far remained overlooked. For individuals working in the private sector, this knowledge might enhance their capacity to serve migrant needs in the future.

Fourth Component

Compile and analyse workshop data alongside online survey data and background research to further develop scenarios for the Horn of Africa and Yemen. Produce a final report on the project’s insights for future international migration in the region.